Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.031710e-05 2.453115e-05 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055
2025-09-07 1.457729e-05 1.982095e-05 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066
2025-09-14 1.058799e-05 1.610123e-05 0.000023 0.000032 0.000044 0.000058 0.000075
2025-09-21 7.843470e-06 1.330786e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083
2025-09-28 5.739128e-06 1.091479e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000063 0.000089
2025-10-05 4.521703e-06 9.552347e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000068 0.000098
2025-10-12 3.635207e-06 8.516142e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000047 0.000072 0.000106
2025-10-19 2.831486e-06 7.430772e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000048 0.000075 0.000114
2025-10-26 2.602994e-06 7.363273e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000053 0.000084 0.000128
2025-11-02 2.077992e-06 6.576679e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000054 0.000087 0.000136
2025-11-09 1.505518e-06 5.514830e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000140
2025-11-16 1.097527e-06 4.688328e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000090 0.000145
2025-11-23 7.838943e-07 4.039165e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000054 0.000094 0.000155
2025-11-30 5.175547e-07 3.366276e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000055 0.000098 0.000164
2025-12-07 3.060607e-07 2.689478e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000054 0.000099 0.000170
2025-12-14 1.703090e-07 2.142136e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000054 0.000101 0.000177
2025-12-21 8.084713e-08 1.645162e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000053 0.000102 0.000182
2025-12-28 4.343545e-08 1.387170e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000054 0.000106 0.000192
2026-01-04 2.247213e-08 1.192347e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000111 0.000202
2026-01-11 8.604809e-09 9.762226e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000056 0.000114 0.000211
2026-01-18 6.742919e-09 9.935461e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000124 0.000230
2026-01-25 2.032099e-09 8.354338e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000062 0.000128 0.000240
2026-02-01 1.019361e-10 6.204109e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000129 0.000245